Table 6 Total energy demand projection by sector
Scenario and sector | Demand (Mtoe) | Growth RATE | % Share | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2009 | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | 2009 | 2010 | 2015 | 2020 | 2025 | 2030 | ||
Reference Growth (7%) | 36 | 38 | 61 | 95 | 140 | 192 | 9 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Industrial sector | 1 | 1 | 23 | 47 | 74 | 106 | 24 | 3 | 1 | 38 | 50 | 53 | 55 |
Transport sector | 8 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 21 | 29 | 7 | 21 | 25 | 19 | 17 | 15 | 15 |
Households | 24 | 25 | 23 | 27 | 37 | 46 | 3 | 67 | 67 | 38 | 29 | 26 | 24 |
Service sector | 3 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 |
High Growth Scenario 10% | 36 | 37 | 75 | 125 | 201 | 347 | 11 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Industrial sector | 1 | 2 | 31 | 62 | 115 | 233 | 29 | 3 | 5 | 41 | 50 | 57 | 67 |
Transport sector | 8 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 24 | 35 | 8 | 21 | 20 | 15 | 13 | 20 | 10 |
Households | 24 | 27 | 30 | 40 | 52 | 65 | 5 | 67 | 72 | 40 | 32 | 26 | 19 |
Service sector | 3 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
Optimistic Growth Scenario 13% | 36 | 40 | 77 | 144 | 278 | 541 | 13.8 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 |
Industrial sector | 1 | 7 | 35 | 82 | 190 | 421 | 33 | 3 | 17 | 45 | 57 | 68 | 78 |
Transport sector | 8 | 6 | 11 | 17 | 25 | 38 | 8 | 21 | 14 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 7 |
Households | 24 | 25 | 26 | 37 | 50 | 63 | 5 | 67 | 61 | 34 | 26 | 18 | 12 |
Service sector | 3 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 14 | 20 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 |